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Friday, 5 November 2010

Squeezing.

Managed to squeeze out my targeted profit yesterday though it was hard. There were two more losers for The Market Examiner which at £25 a point was £ 50 gone. Terrys only bet of the day came second but at 14/1 each way it made a profit.

Got £ 50 out of Betfair.



I had four bets with two unplaced, a 16/1 third and over in Ireland a winner.


Watched a bit of football the last couple of nights it does make you wonder. Man City are becoming the new Chelsea, with the neutrals wanting them to lose and my god they are poor for such a vastly expensive team. The fact of the matter is they have paid an exorbitant amount of money for players that really arent good enough. Last night they brought on a player (kolarov) never heard of the bloke and they paid £19 million for him from Lazio. It beggars belief !
This is the squad from their web site, look at how many players they've got.

Its not as if they even play that entertaining football, especially when compared to Spurs the night before. A great result but also a deserved one with Harry's team attacking from all sides and never trying to sit on a one goal lead against the Euro champions but taking the game to them. I hope that he gets the England managers job one day as he obviously wants it and he might be able to put a bit of fire and pride in the teams belly.

Thursday, 4 November 2010

Slacking ?

As the title says I have been a bit of a slacker lately, or have I? Had the first couple of days in November off as I wanted to "take stock" over what I am doing, where I am going and whether to take anything else on board.As well as going back through past results and trying to see if there are any angles or things I could improve.

At the end of the day this is my job and I could just sit here and watch re-runs of "Friends" but like everybody else I am always on the look out for new ideas and systems across the net. To boot I have been going through a lot of tennis and some football data, which is boring and tiresome but at the same time I think needs to be done when time is free to see if any little gems can be uprooted.

For the forthcoming month I have added "The Market Examiner" to see if he can perform as per his blog. I followed in the summer months and it worked quite well apart from the odds quoted compared to mine. For the cost of £15 for the month I am happy to give it a go and see if I can get the odds quoted achieved. If this doesnt happen in 90% of the cases I will drop it because there is 10% of any edge gone straight away. For the record he is 8 points down and all horses selected have run poorly.For the eight horses I have got the price as quoted in the email apart from today where both runners price had gone within seconds of me receiving the mail.

The other service I use is back on line as Terry took last month off. He started yesterday with the one bet which was a winner , so lets hope that continues.


These are the only two horse racing guys I will use apart from my own bets of course. Yesterday I had four bets of my own and lost £ 175, but overall a profitable one.


Monday, 1 November 2010

Flat.

Out with old and as the clocks go back and the season changes so does my blog picture from Autumn to Winter. Lets all shiver our way through the next few months to Springtime and hope that the betting gods are smiling.

Had a very flat weekend making no head way. Cant really put any positive slants on it I just kept getting things wrong and the things that went right werent good enough profit wise. To add to my woes my favourite TV show "The Middle" also finished. If you havent seen it catch up with the repeats.

I lost the most money with Bet Catalyst who are running a master place system on placed horses which had as Richard put it in an email had" An unbelievable poor run." I will see if it can turnaround as results before were very encouraging.

The SBP had a losing A bet but a winning B bet on the NFL with Tampa +3.5 bringing home the bacon. On the college side of things I am not following anymore so I dont know.

The FTS had a good weekend but that was all lost and some more when a system 3 game that was picked on Saturday night finished 1-1. The system 3 has now a small profit for the season. I am still wondering where the £150k a year comes from, but Ian is helpful and does seem to want to help.

For myself I had just four bets all weekend with a couple of places for a loss of £55. I have managed to get an old Stan James account going again. Lets hope they take some bets on this one.
So I manged to drop in total £ 500 over the weekend but the month finished at over £3300 so beating the target. The last week had been a real roller coaster so I hope it can settle down a bit for now ! My own lay system performed well as all three picks AC Milan, Hearts and G Fruth all lost.

Finally thanks for the memories:

DOHA, Qatar
- She fought alongside the biggest names on the WTA for over a decade, right until the end too. And following her last match of this week's WTA Championships - Doha 2010, Elena Dementieva called it a career.

After Anna Kournikova's stint at the top level in the late 1990s and early 2000s, Dementieva was the first of the current wave of Russians to make a mark, cracking the Top 20 on September 11, 2000 after a shock run to her first Grand Slam semifinal at the US Open. She stayed in that elite for 524 of the next 529 weeks, including this week, and she spent an amazing 328 career weeks inside the Top 10 (peaking at No.3 for five weeks in the spring of 2009).

Dementieva seemed to get better and better with age, her most treasured title, the gold medal at the Beijing Olympics in 2008, coming at age 26, and her two Top 5 finishes coming at 27 and 28 (at the end of the 2008 and 2009 seasons).

In addition to 16 WTA titles, Dementieva reached another 16 finals, including Grand Slam finals at the French Open and US Open in 2004. Players had to go to the ends of the Earth to beat her; who could forget Serena Williams' 67(4) 75 86 win over her in the semifinals of Wimbledon last year, where the eventual champion had to save match point in what is widely regarded as one of the best matches in recent memory. Dementieva reached the semifinals or better at Grand Slams nine times, doing it at least once at every Grand Slam.

Dementieva's success wasn't just limited to singles. She won six WTA doubles titles (including the WTA Championships in 2002 with Janette Husarova) and reached another seven finals (including two US OPEN finals, in 2002 with Husarova and 2005 with Flavia Pennetta). Her doubles career-high was No.5.

But after 12 years competing at the highest level, the Russian, who celebrated her 29th birthday earlier this month, decided to bow out on the WTA's biggest stage, her last match coming against Francesca Schiavone. The 30-year-old Italian would win that match in an hour and 33 minutes on center court, 64 62.

"This year in Doha was very special for me because it was my last tournament," Dementieva told the crowd. "I'd first like to thank Stacey Allaster. We're very lucky to have you as the leader of the tour. You do so much to make our tour better, trying to take women's tennis to a different level. It has been a big honor to be a part of the tour for such a long time. I'd like to thank all the people from the WTA - it was so nice to get to know all of you and work with you for so many years. I'm going to miss you so much. Thanks to all the players for the amazing experiences, all the years I spent on the court with you. And thanks to all the people around the world for supporting me, and my fan club, I could feel your support no matter where I was in the world. Thank you for your devotion.

"Most importantly, thanks to my family, especially my mom. You've been very supportive, encouraging, inspiring... you were always there for me. It was a long way and we did it together. I love you mom.

"It's so emotional. It's hard to say goodbye. I'm going to miss you so much."

"Russia is proud to have you. You've been a great inspiration and role model for kids,"Vera Zvonareva said on court. "You've done so much, not just for Russian tennis but for Russian sport. The whole country is proud of you."

"We kind of grew up together. I've been playing with her since the juniors,"Kim Clijsters said. "It's nice to see her look forward to something new in her life. She's been one of the most professional, nicest girls on tour.

"It will be rare to see another player like her."

Thursday, 28 October 2010

Dont Forget....

Vote for AP McCoy for Sports Personality Of The Year, and of course put a bet on it!

Legendary jockey snatches victory from the jaws of defeat ... again!

Throughout a career forged out of winning on horses that no other jockey would have got over the finishing line first, there are certain rides that stick out in the record of AP McCoy - the outstanding effort on Wichita Lineman at the 2009 Cheltenham Festival, getting Hennessy up late at Sandown the same year (hit an in-play high of 100), or the remounting of Family Business in a novice chase at Southwell in 2002, to name just three.

The latest we can add to the list is the victory of Drill Sergeant in the two-mile novice hurdle at Haydock on Wednesday. Things looked to be going smoothly for Drill Sergeant early on, McCoy having established a clear lead on the Donald McCain-trained novice, who had been sent off the favourite at a BSP of 2.15.

However, rounding the paddock bend on the first circuit Drill Sergeant pulled himself up, and his 15-length lead quickly eroded as he found himself in last place, hitting a high of 120.0 in running. The task looked hopeless at that point but, using what was described by Racing UK pundit Graham Cunningham as 'the iron hand in a velvet' glove', McCoy cajoled Drill Sergeant back into a prominent pitch.

Drill Sergeant was back in front three out, but several of his rivals were laying down strong-looking challenges at that point, and it needed a further demonstration of McCoy's strength in the saddle to deny Brother Bob, who touched and in-running low of 1.22.


Blindsided.

Been watching my Bet 365 account as I feel it is in grave danger and what happens? Well my new Stan James account exactly two weeks old gets closed. After speaking to a trader it seems they dont like my type of betting, fucking great. All this at the end of a day when I had made back my previous two days losses and some more to boot.

I made the cardinal sin and I mean it when I say its the first time I have done this for ages and they clamp me. This is the story, I was going through the races yesterday morning on Betfair and there was money coming for a horse and it just kept coming. Everytime somebody put some money in it was snapped up and heading south. The price hadn't reacted with the bookies so I backed it with Stan James and layed it on Betfair. I also backed it to a smaller amount with Bet 365 each way. It was called Our Dynasty in the 3.15 at Musselburgh, and the thing dots up. It was more annoying because Bet 365 had a bigger price but because I was worried about the account I backed it with Stan James. So I lost £ 459 on Betfair but won £745 from the bookies.


I had some great bets with a 33/1 second place in Wayward Glance who went off at 80 on betfair and went down to 2.36 in running as it got beaten off in the last half a furlong. The same happened with King Of The Moors who I backed 16/1 and got caught on the line after trading as low as 1.05. Luckily I placed a lay on this horse at 1.15 so i collected the each way money £ 55 plus £ 191 from Betfair.

I also had Warnes Way and Starshine come second and third in the same race,and Bet Cat gave me Club Tahiti which also placed so all this combined to make it an £ 800 day.


Coming to the end of the month and its been a cracker, even after the trials and tribulations of the last three days.

Tuesday, 26 October 2010

The Midas Touch.

There is a song that goes " I've got the midas touch everything I touch turns to gold" another classic probably from the eighties, well unfortunately for me that's not what's happened over the past two days.

If I sit back, look, and put it in perspective I'm still above my target for the month, but really I have performed very badly these past two days putting in some bad trades and then chasing them a bit, all to try to get to my best month this year. I also overstaked sometimes and this made me bite the bullet a bit sooner than I should have done. I shall go through my spread sheets and I wouldnt be surprised that If I actually put in half the stakes I am using now I would actually have made more money if that can make sense.


Well you live and learn and I cant even blame it on the gamblers most common foe "bad luck."
I have lost £ 685 on Betfair and another £100 from my own horse bets , but after the run I had been on with them a correction is sorely overdue!



Not even gonna mention "that" fixed tennis match yesterday a bit more annoyed with the tennis in Doha where the first two matches were a joke. Ok they have earned their right to get there but Jankovic and Dementieva were poor beyond belief. Both players were clearly injured, sick or both but getting a $100,000 just for turning up means they were gonna get on that court and the punters were never gonna get a fair crack of the whip. Both had their arses kicked in double quick time, I wouldnt be surprised if they quit and Na Li and Peer came in to take the spaces.

Anyway lets hope tomorrow is better.

Sunday, 24 October 2010

A New Sport ?

I didnt get where I am today without my power naps, maybe next year I can enter.

From the BBC website:

A jobless security worker has won a competition billed as Spain's inaugural siesta championship, napping for 17 minutes in a busy shopping centre.

Ecuadorean Pedro Soria Lopez took first place and 1,000 euros (£890) for his efforts - or lack of them.

Judges praised the 62-year-old not only for the duration of his 40 winks, but also for his volume, notching up snores of 70 decibels - around talking level.

The contest was run by Spain's National Association of Friends of the Siesta.

It was part of a campaign to revive the Spanish power-napping tradition, which is seen as threatened by the fast pace of modern life.

Over the course of nine days, 360 competitors were challenged to sleep for as much of a 20-minute period allotted to them as possible.

Participants stretched out on sofas in the Madrid shopping centre while their pulses were monitored to check they were asleep.

Judges awarded points for the speed with which participants fell asleep, the volume of their snoring, the most original sleeping position and the best-dressed sleeper.




Well a productive weekend which pushes October up to the second best month in the last year. If I can keep it up for another week I could have my best ever month but you never know in this game. Must of had a record on Saturday with the football as every bet/trade placed came off. The only loss was £3 which was me doing a late hedge in case Chelsea let in a goal as I backed them to win to nil.


My system lay of Swindon came off as they drew 2-2. I was too busy to get involved with Ian Erskines stuff and the SBP but I think that they both did the business this weekend and if any of you were involved you would have made a profit. All FTS games were good and the system three picks both won keeping the record to 100% for the season. The SBP bet in the NFL was Cleveland +13.5 which also came up trumps. Shame with these two as I missed profit making opportunities.

I took some pain on the horses on Saturday as a couple of hefty lays won their races but today I managed to get a lot of that back so showing a small but positive increase in my account for the weekend. The other positive came from my own bets. I had three on Saturday with two being placed at 20/1 and 12/1 and a winner at 14/1.


Today I had three again with two unplaced and one second at 25/1. The placed horse today Dear Sam got backed in from that price right down to 10/1 at the off.